I am always amazed how people start startups in areas they have absolutely no idea about, and build things for imaginary users that do not exist. Well guess that is what a big co "new products team" teaches you...
Not sure what you mean by imaginary users, he did speak to relevant people for his mental health startup venture. And while I agree it's magnitudes riskier to start in a domain that you're unfamiliar with, there are plenty who do so, and become very successful.
What do you think "voting age" means? The first sentence on the linked page is "The overall turnout of eligible voters in the 2024 general election was 63.7%"
The consumer grade 3D printing is just now closing with the factory-level quality. Still not completely there. Is the quality difference similar vs. comparing human made software and LLM generated?
> Same way 3D printing replaced all common goods, can be done by anyone. Why not just print it yourself?
I don't think the analogy works.
3D printers are still fiddly, require a lot of know-how, take up space at home, resin printers often use toxic materials, and are generally something for which you need specialized equipment, supplies, and knowledge.
Comparatively, the latest LLM models are much easier to use without specialized knowledge, take up no space in your house, and give decent/good results. Again, not entirely there yet, but this is moving faster than 3D printing tech.
"Same way"? I struggle to find the similarities. Cheap 3D printers have a distinctly different capability profile from machinery used for mass production. What about coding agents' capabilities is distinctly different from those of human coders and 100% will not change?
I know you meant this comment as a criticism, but it actually raises a really interesting point of what we mean by "real success." I hope you will elaborate.
But that is 20% not 100%. And in most non retarded countries brutto is actually brutto, because there is no need to lie to people about how much the government takes away
Historically, this has nothing to do with lying, but is all about the founding idea of the social security system that all parties (workers, employers, state) carry part of the burden. Employers were supposed to pay their fair share because they also benefitted from the system (a sick or injured employee is not a productive one). Or saying it differently: the employer pays an insurance premium to reduce the effects of sickness. That premium is tied to the „value“ of the employee as measured by their salary.
There is plenty to improve with the system but to call it „retarded“ considering how much good it has brought to the world seems quite wrong to me. I don’t want to work in the pre-Bismarck era
Easy just add "Make no mistakes" to the proompt, clear skill issue.
In reality people who use LLMs so it does not hallucinate are the ones that just have to little knowledge to actually see when it does, because LLMs do and they always will. That is the only thing you can get with a stochastic word predictor.
My current favorite in that area ( because I saw it in the wild ) is:
"Make it better" with no additional or reasonable previous explanation of what better might mean.
"AI will figure it out" not for pattern extraction, but for a full blown analysis with equally generic prompt all confidently stated by an executive telling people working it how it works
If you talk to it like a programmer talks to a computer, it works a lot better.
So the question remains if non-programmers will adapt, the LLMs will accept wider range of input styles, or .. its just another abstraction layer for devs to use.
I've observed this in the wild where someone is iterating with an LLM and giving it only negative feedback. For example responding to edits with "don't make it blue" rather than "keep the existing button shape, and change the color back to green".
The LLM doesn't really come back the way a human would and say "so what color do you want?".. it just, guesses. Now abstract that to more complex tasks.
I hear ya. I actually started a small group at work trying to help non-tech people adopt better postures, because company rolled it out to everyone ( in a typical corporate fashion mind ) without any real help beyond 'well, try it'. It no wonder we get interesting assertions from our executives, who, seemingly, barely spent any time with it.
Use the existing Slop they have that needs 1GB of Ram for a simple Terminal app to create an even more slopped Linux app... If only they had any devs at their 500K and way up pay package that could actually write a simple app, that you know does not suck.
Torment doomers claim that the commodification of humanity’s suffering will usher in a dark age, but quarterly earnings have never been higher. I trust that Death Star Inc has humanity’s best interests at heart.
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