Wish I could run my life like this: I'm adding value by blowing other people's money and acting like I'm rich.
"Ok so here's the deal, you front my incredible lavish lifestyle and eventually I'm gonna run into managers who I will talk into giving me money that belongs to yet other people, and then I'll pay you back with a percentage and the managers will take a commission and those yet other people will ride out the market volatility. The P&Ls can be steered to make this work for you and me with the support of the network. All we need is to get those managers on board. Trust me!"
And we've seen this before.
2008: Really Smart Guys banks get help of ratings services to gin up managers who tap out the network, until the RSG banks blow a derivatives gasket and Fed has to construct several-many-trillions to make them whole (a lamb was sacrificed to the god of socialism) while the little guys at the edge of the network got pushed off a volatility cliff. "Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns"
"Systemic failure; no one is responsible; RSG bonuses will be paid, carry on"
Reset button gets pushed.
Clown on NBC who told everyone to buy-buy-buy the bull at the moment it croaked in 2008 keeps his job telling everyone to buy the bear.
20 years later: Fantastical new instruments even more perverse than derivatives are on the hoof and RSGs enjoy insane largesse while nation is hollowed out.
RSGs are sometimes bothered by a vague sense of shame and guilt that their lives are bullshit and they have lots of stuff but no community— it's troubling— but too unspecific to merit more than an angsty blog post on how SF just doesn't feel right anymore.
With luck the SA fault will rip a 9.0+ soon and all that angst will roll into the ocean.
From the paper:
//
"Nobody is going to run 100 meters in five seconds, no matter how much is invested in training and machines. The same can be said about using the brain. The human mind is no different now from what it was five thousand years ago. And when it comes to mathematics, you must realize that this is the human mind at an extreme limit of its capacity."
//
Previously on HN:
Shannon Got AI This Far. Kolmogorov Shows Where It Stops
Look at Activity Monitor report when it's overloaded to see what's busy.
MacOS and apps have many kinds of background activity which present large transient loads, for example Spotlight indexing and photo library facial scanning.
Do you have a browser or other app infected with a crypto-miner or other malware?
If you create a new user and sign in using only that new user, do you see the same overload?
Are you running an unsupported Mac for Tahoe via OCLP? Thar be performance hazards. Search Macrumors "unsupported" forums.
There's a far greater hazard than AI boosting itself:
As models are under direct control of totalitarian silos, ideology can be baked into every tendril of knowledge represented.
A service such as Gemini may be a societal ideological risk on a greater scale than the notoriously fascist influence of radio/TV in the 1920s and 30s.
"Guardrails" are direct lines of injection of ideology, and
"hallucinations" can serve to mask.
Why should anyone trust singular corporate control points for doctrine on the totality of knowledge? It seems like a crazy risk.
News is already utterly polluted with doctrinaire bias.
Politics are clearly designed to keep the electorate away from decision-making, and open doors to privileged silos of control.
AI can own the populace coming and going as the models inject doctrine into the core of knowledge and scour the consumer for measures doctrinal uptake and alignment. Will information become totalized with no possibility of escape?
"Ok so here's the deal, you front my incredible lavish lifestyle and eventually I'm gonna run into managers who I will talk into giving me money that belongs to yet other people, and then I'll pay you back with a percentage and the managers will take a commission and those yet other people will ride out the market volatility. The P&Ls can be steered to make this work for you and me with the support of the network. All we need is to get those managers on board. Trust me!"
And we've seen this before.
2008: Really Smart Guys banks get help of ratings services to gin up managers who tap out the network, until the RSG banks blow a derivatives gasket and Fed has to construct several-many-trillions to make them whole (a lamb was sacrificed to the god of socialism) while the little guys at the edge of the network got pushed off a volatility cliff. "Past performance is not a guarantee of future returns"
"Systemic failure; no one is responsible; RSG bonuses will be paid, carry on"
Reset button gets pushed.
Clown on NBC who told everyone to buy-buy-buy the bull at the moment it croaked in 2008 keeps his job telling everyone to buy the bear.
20 years later: Fantastical new instruments even more perverse than derivatives are on the hoof and RSGs enjoy insane largesse while nation is hollowed out.
RSGs are sometimes bothered by a vague sense of shame and guilt that their lives are bullshit and they have lots of stuff but no community— it's troubling— but too unspecific to merit more than an angsty blog post on how SF just doesn't feel right anymore.
With luck the SA fault will rip a 9.0+ soon and all that angst will roll into the ocean.
reply