It could be the case that we’ve reached the last generation of frontier models that can be accessed by the general public. That eliminates a risk that Anthropic could be leapfrogged by a competitor.
Now it’s a competition between products on the near frontier. Anthropic has executed well on products so far. They blew up thanks to Claude Code, not Opus by itself.
I lean libertarian but I can recognize the danger in having access to a machine that can craft pathogens to spec.
A pathogen with a very long incubation time and a high fatality rate would be about as bad as nuclear war. Maybe we need to figure out how to possibly defend against one person doing this before making it easy for anyone to do it.
I realized that should I end up getting laid off soon I won't have an unlimited token budget and for the workflows I've settled into it would be quite expensive. So I was exploring what it would take to run open models at home.
Was quite disappointed to see that the PC side hasn't kept up. The unified architecture on Macs makes it very hard to justify spending money on a Linux machine for inference workloads.
It's more that Unix systems were timesharing systems, any user could run a daemon, but you didn't want users to have the ability to grab a port used by system services, not just because they could impersonate a system service on the network, but also because then you couldn't trust localhost services, either, as well as it just being a PITA. This is still true today; though vanishingly few Linux systems are multi-tenant, it's still common to implicitly trust a local service.
I'm enjoying it. It's wild to realize that I spent countless hours playing Theme Park when I was around 10 years old, and Demis had been a big contributor to the game when he wasn't much older.
Also I don't really care that it's a bit of a cheerleader for DeepMind and Hassabis. Substantive criticism is good, but too often with these kind of books it feels like an editor told the author that the book needs something negative and the author has to inflate an issue to meet the requirement.
The author did give him credit for the whole you-can-make-the-fries-super-salty-to-increase-demand-for-drinks thing in Theme Park, which I remember vividly. (I, too, dropped many hours on Theme Park as a kid.) Although I imagine there’s about half a dozen people who lay claim to that idea.
Now it’s a competition between products on the near frontier. Anthropic has executed well on products so far. They blew up thanks to Claude Code, not Opus by itself.
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