Sam, you have a lot of great ideas and a lot of assumptions in this essay. Just like the parameters in deep learning models, we can’t know what will work in different scenarios until we can model it reliably. Time to build a worldwide game, version of the Sims if you will, to test different assumptions and global activity based on them. Happy to help on this too.
Some big assumptions:
- Childcare can or cannot be handled by robots (very likely not if you need to raise healthy humans).
- Healthcare can or cannot be handled by robots.
- Humans will enjoy lack of employment without mental damage and how to retrain or provide for those needs.
In the game each player should be assigned a random individual with different roles in society - so they can see all angles (from different speeds of income accruing, to health, to time demands of their job, to responsibilities that need handled, etc). You will see all kinds of bugs that way - from individual liquidity crunches, to mental breakdowns, to industries that need more innovation/AI.
You can run any assumption in different epochs and get the answer by humans who play along worldwide.
That way when the rules are about to change due to an innovation, we can run a fun game simulation instead of running the risk of anarchy which kills a lot of people.
It is critically important to think about how we structure the future based on the technology we unlock. My pull request on this essay would be to propose we build a test suite for that first. Maybe we can use AI to simulate outcomes too after a good number of human runs.
Some big assumptions: - Childcare can or cannot be handled by robots (very likely not if you need to raise healthy humans).
- Healthcare can or cannot be handled by robots.
- Humans will enjoy lack of employment without mental damage and how to retrain or provide for those needs.
In the game each player should be assigned a random individual with different roles in society - so they can see all angles (from different speeds of income accruing, to health, to time demands of their job, to responsibilities that need handled, etc). You will see all kinds of bugs that way - from individual liquidity crunches, to mental breakdowns, to industries that need more innovation/AI.
You can run any assumption in different epochs and get the answer by humans who play along worldwide.
That way when the rules are about to change due to an innovation, we can run a fun game simulation instead of running the risk of anarchy which kills a lot of people.
It is critically important to think about how we structure the future based on the technology we unlock. My pull request on this essay would be to propose we build a test suite for that first. Maybe we can use AI to simulate outcomes too after a good number of human runs.