> But that won't stop your metaphorical Dad from swearing up and down you need to buy index funds....
The argument isn't that passive index investing is some kind of perfectly optimal investing strategy, it's that it's the most practical strategy for 98% of normal small, individual investors. If you don't have millions of dollars to invest, and you have a real job that prevents you from spending all your time researching investment opportunities, then you are probably better off just buying the market, instead of flailing around paying fees and trade commissions trying to beat the market.
If you believe in the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, and you are not a professional investor, then you should probably be in index funds.
Fees are the other key factor. Most investors are really using 401k accounts with captive choices, not a real broker with access to funds and free ETFs.
You're almost always better off with an index than the "HR Director Got a Kickback Growth Fund"
The argument isn't that passive index investing is some kind of perfectly optimal investing strategy, it's that it's the most practical strategy for 98% of normal small, individual investors. If you don't have millions of dollars to invest, and you have a real job that prevents you from spending all your time researching investment opportunities, then you are probably better off just buying the market, instead of flailing around paying fees and trade commissions trying to beat the market.
If you believe in the weak form of the Efficient Market Hypothesis, and you are not a professional investor, then you should probably be in index funds.